10 research idea notes tagged “macroeconomics”. Read them as Markdown, JSON or an Atom feed.
Bitcoin appears on 164 recent papers, and 53 crypto papers carry a hedging, safe-haven or inflation keyword, but "inflation hedging" itself appears on just 6. The 2021–2023 inflation was the first real test of the "digital gold" claim, and spot ETFs have since changed who holds Bitcoin. What did the test show?
Papers in the last 30 days — Bitcoin: 10 · cryptocurrency: 6
Tariffs and the trade war appear on 184 recent papers, mostly in the economics journals, but only 47 carry a price, pass-through, incidence or inflation keyword, and "tariff pass-through" on 3. The 2025 tariff rounds were larger and broader than those of 2018. Did foreign exporters cut prices this time, or did consumers pay again?
Papers in the last 30 days — tariffs: 3 · trade war: 2
Sovereign default and sovereign debt crises appear on 42 recent papers in the economics and finance journals, but only one of them carries a creditor, China or Common Framework keyword. Recent restructurings in Zambia, Ghana and Sri Lanka involved China as a major lender. Do defaults take longer and resolve differently when the creditors are new?
Papers in the last 30 days — sovereign default: 3 · sovereign debt crisis: 2
Public debt, fiscal rules and debt sustainability appear on 215 recent papers in the economics and finance journals, but only 41 of them carry an interest-rate, debt-service or monetary keyword. For a decade, low rates made debt look free. With interest costs now the fastest-growing budget item in several countries, which governments adjust, and how?
Papers in the last 30 days — public debt: 10 · fiscal rules: 3
The Phillips curve, monetary policy rules and labour market tightness are all rising keywords in the economics journals, after an inflation surge that flat Phillips curves did not predict. Only 7 of 27 recent Phillips-curve papers carry a pandemic, tightness or nonlinearity keyword. Is the curve steep when labour markets are tight, and what does that mean for policy rules?
Papers in the last 30 days — Phillips curve: 2 · labor market tightness: 2
Oil prices are a rising keyword in the economics journals, and oil-price shocks remain a standard driver in inflation models. But none of the 189 recent oil-price papers carries an electric-vehicle keyword. As electric vehicles spread, is oil's grip on inflation weakening, and where first?
Papers in the last 30 days — oil price shocks: 3 · oil prices: 3
Market power, price setting and markups appear on 186 recent papers, but only 8 of them carry an inflation keyword. The claim that firms used the inflation surge to raise margins ("greedflation") shaped policy debates. Did markups rise, in which sectors, and did they fall back?
Papers in the last 30 days — markups: 4 · market power: 4
Japan appears on 184 recent papers, with 56 in the last quarter against about 41 per quarter before, but only 21 of them carry a wage, inflation or deflation keyword. Japan's annual wage rounds have produced the largest raises in decades, and the Bank of Japan has ended negative rates. Is the wage-price cycle real, and does it reach small firms?
Papers in the last 30 days — Japan: 3 · wage growth: 1
Government spending, borrowing costs and the euro area are all rising keywords in the finance journals. When governments borrow more, domestic banks often buy the bonds. Does that crowd out bank lending to firms, and which firms lose the most?
Papers in the last 30 days — government spending: 7 · euro area: 5
Overlapping-generations models are a rising tool in the economics journals, and population aging is a large topic, but few papers connect aging to asset prices. Of 239 recent papers with an aging or demographic keyword, 17 carry a keyword about stocks, interest rates or house prices. As Japan, Korea, China and Europe age, will returns and interest rates fall?
Papers in the last 30 days — population aging: 4 · overlapping generations model: 2